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The stuff you won't see in the liberal media
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Beckwith

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Obama loses Democrat primary in 15 Oklahoma counties!

The Associated Press (Obama's most reliable water-carriers) is reporting that Barack Obama collected the most votes in the Oklahoma Democratic primary, but lost in 15 counties.

With 98 percent of precincts reporting Tuesday, Obama won 57 percent of the vote. Four other candidates combined for 43 percent of the vote, including anti-abortion activist and Operation Rescue founder Randall Terry who received 18 percent of the vote.

According to Democratic Party rules, Terry is eligible for a delegate since he won more than 15 percent of the statewide vote. Terry beat Obama in 12 counties, mostly in western Oklahoma. Terry acknowledges he can't win the presidency but says he hopes to cause Obama's defeat in the fall.

Please note: This locked parallel thread contains more early campaign stuff.


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Awesome!

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Beckwith

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The Obama's don't want this video to be seen in 2012
  


Everything in this video has been fact-checked.
 

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Beckwith

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Obama's approval rating sinks to new low

Stephanie Condon is reporting that Barack Obama's approval rating has hit the lowest level ever in CBS News polling, according to the latest CBS News/New York Times survey. The drop may be partially attributable to rising gas prices.

Just 41 percent of Americans approve of the job Mr. Obama is doing as president, according to the poll, conducted from March 7 to 11. Another 47 percent disapprove of his performance, up from 41 percent last month.

Obama's approval rating was 50 percent last month.

The average U.S. price of a gallon of gasoline has jumped 12 cents over the past two weeks. The poll found that most Americans, 54 percent, believe gas prices are something a president can do a lot about.

Americans have historically felt that a president can control gas prices, though experts attribute changes to a variety of factors, many outside of a president's control. They also felt this way when gas prices spiked during the administration of former President George W. Bush.

When asked Tuesday by CBS Pittsburgh affiliate KDKA whether he can impact gas prices, Mr. Obama said, "Understandably people are frustrated when gas prices are going up, and there are things we can do, but they're not going to result, provide results overnight."

Obama noted that the U.S. has reduced its dependence on foreign oil under his administration and that fuel efficiency standards for cars are being raised. The administration is exploring other ways to reduce prices, but Mr. Obama said the biggest contributor to the current high prices is rumors of war in the Middle East.

"Which is part of the reason I said a couple weeks ago let's stop with the loose talk about war," he said. "Because a lot of what's driving this is people's concern and fear that there might be major disruptions in the Middle East oil markets."

Attacks from the Republicans running to replace Mr. Obama may be having an impact on his approval rating as well. His disapproval rating has risen to 89 percent among Republicans (from 82 percent last month), and more independents now disapprove of his job performance than approve. Though Mr. Obama's approval rating among Democrats remains high, it has dropped seven points - from 85 percent last month to 78 percent today.

Of the four remaining GOP candidates, former House Speaker Newt Gingrich has hit Mr. Obama particularly hard on high gas prices, promising on the campaign trail to bring down the price to $2.50.

Jim Ritterbusch, president of an oil trading advisory firm, told CBS News there are no quick fixes.

"It's become somewhat of a political football," Ritterbusch said. "But none of the candidates or the current president can flip a switch and drive gas prices down to $3 a gallon."

Obama's job rating on the economy remains about the same as it was last month - 39 percent approve, while 54 percent disapprove.

The economy and jobs remains the most important problem facing the country today, according to 51 percent of Americans. Three in four Americans think the economy is at least somewhat bad, including 30 percent who say it is very bad.

Continue reading here . . .


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Beckwith

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5 reasons Obama will lose in November

Tom Tancredo says last week conservative columnist George Will declared that none of the four remaining Republican candidates can beat Obama. This would be alarming if we had any reason to trust Will’s crystal ball. We don’t.

Republicans spend too much time wringing their hands over the unfortunate fact that no current candidate measures up to the "Reagan standard." Well, that’s life. Deal with it. In 2012, Republicans don’t need a Reagan to beat Obama, who has negatives almost as high as Jimmy Carter did in 1980.

It’s a mistake to focus too much on the Republican candidates’ mistakes and weaknesses. The 2012 election will be a referendum on Obama.

Of course, Obama wants to run against George Bush again, but that won’t work. Because he has a record to defend, Obama has an uphill battle to win a second term. Democrats know this. Obama is in trouble, which is why his campaign already has the odor of desperation.

It is understandable that veteran Republican leaders, pundits and pollsters are worried by the lack of a clear consensus about the Republican candidate. Conventional wisdom says Republicans should have settled on a candidate by now. Yes, that would be ideal, but that worry is overstated.
 
We must remember that in 2008, there was a clear consensus and it proved to be wrong: It turned out that the "consensus candidate," John McCain, was not the best candidate to put up against Barack Obama.

So, let’s put aside the media’s favorite parlor game, the horse-race handicapping of the Republican candidates, and look instead at Obama’s problems. There are at least five reasons he will probably be vacating the White House next Jan. 20.
 
First, the economy still stinks. That’s not George Bush’s fault, and Obama can’t get away with running against Bush -- or McCain or Sarah Palin -- no matter how much help he gets from Hollywood and David Letterman to sell that snake oil.

Even if the national unemployment rate continues to fall toward 7 percent from its earlier peaks above 9 percent, Americans see the reality of a stalled economy. In 1984 at this same time, Reagan’s economic recovery from the 1982 recession was creating 700,000 jobs each month, not the anemic 230,000 now being created.

Secondly, Obama’s foreign policy is an utter disaster. Americans are tired of "leading from behind" and watching embarrassing "apology tours" by himself, Secretary of State Clinton and now Defense Secretary Panetta. Americans are tired of seeing their president literally bow before foreign leaders. His Afghan withdrawal plan is unraveling daily, his "Russian reset" is a total failure, his unilateral disarmament of our nuclear weapons capability is lunatic, and Iran is not abandoning its rush to build a nuclear bomb that has one main purpose: to destroy Israel.

Third, Obama’s principal domestic policy achievement, Obamacare, is increasingly unpopular across a wide spectrum of society. Its taxpayer cost is growing exponentially, its mandates to states are increasingly onerous and expensive, and insurance costs are not under control as promised.

Fourth, Obama will not be able to maintain the enthusiasm of his left-wing base while moving to the center to win back the middle class. His neo-Marxism is hard to hide, and he’s not Houdini. His leftist base in the universities and greenbelts likes gas prices above $5 per gallon, but Obama is not going to be able to campaigning on that platform in Phoenix, Pocatello or Poughkeepsie.
 
Finally, despite the fractious and expensive primary campaign that began too early and has lasted too long, Republicans are more unified in agreement about defeating Obama than Democrats are on the need for pushing gasoline prices higher to save Mother Earth from capitalist rape and pillage.

When the dust settles in Tampa in August, the candidates, Ron Paul included, will unite behind the Republican nominee. They will decide that a flawed candidate -- and every candidate is a flawed candidate -- is better than a Marxist incumbent. Republicans of all stripes and persuasions are unified in their understanding of one imperative: Removing Obama from the White House is more than a political goal: it is a constitutional imperative.
 
Yes, that Republican candidate will face a formidable Obama campaign, a campaign that will spend a billion dollars and violate every known standard of political ethics and civility. Yet, it will not be enough to persuade Americans to bet on four more years of Obama and his imperial czars.
 

Tancredo got that part right.  The only hope Obama has to win is to cheat on a scale not seen since Stalin.

 


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Claudia

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the cheating, the martial law, the black panthers at the polling places, the vote fixed machines in the polling places, those are the things that we need to worry about, plus all of the actual voter fraud that Obama and ACORN or any sister entities are promoting are the true culprits that could make this THE LAST ELECTION and force Obama to instill himself as Fiat Dictator in late October is the PLAN if he can't get the voter support the old fashioned way.....

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I think that a lot of people have begun to read the writing on the wall and have looked with new eyes and horror at what the Halfrican has done. The price of gasoline alone is enough for the Americans who have to drive to work to begin to rethink racism. We all just need to explain that it is his INNER WHITEY  that we have grown to despise.

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Campaign themes: 2008 vs. 2012

  


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Beckwith

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Obama Campaign keeps it classy

 

Team Obama is selling campaign swag with Biden's "Big F*cking Deal" gaffe on it to celebrate ObamaCare.

Zip says, surprisingly, there are no "I visited all 57 states" tee-shirts in their store.

  

PS -- It's not "health reform."  It's "insurance reform."  It's the socialization of the private insurance industry.

 


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Beckwith

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GOP needs to wake up to Barack Obama’s dominance online

Al DiGuido says the big news of the week seems to be the Team Obama has now discovered yet another social media platform that they can dominate: the rapidly growing and expanding Pinterest platform.

For the Republicans, the story is getting increasingly desperate. It’s pretty clear from this week’s numbers that the rate of growth online across the board for the Republican candidates is slowing dramatically.

My sense is that all of the infighting and bickering is taking its toll on an electorate that has grown tired of these brands and the ongoing rhetoric between the candidates. Anyone sitting over at the Republican National Committee looking at these numbers and seeing something more positive than I do has probably drunk too much of the Kool-Aid. 

The last remaining Republicans are being propped up by a media constituency that is desperate for a continuing soap opera, not a real election cycle. It’s readily apparent that the Republican Party has little regard for fighting a good fight to win back the White House. I see nothing anywhere that leads me to believe that there will be any magical strategy or formula that will reverse the trends that we are seeing right now. In fact, the Obama camp is showing signs of gaining strength despite all of the rumblings about the potential of ObamaCare being struck down by the Supreme Court.  The re-election team for Barack Obama is hitting on all cylinders and an online cohort is being assembled that will provide the President with his second term.

I watch with great disdain as one Republican pundit after another makes the rounds of Fox News and other media platforms railing against Obama and his policies. One would think from this rancor that the election is going to be very close.  We are all being duped and lulled into a false sense of security. Everyone on the network side likes programming where the perception is nip and tuck…close games, tight competitions. Such intensity drives viewers to these broadcasts. No one is tuning in to watch a blowout. So it is with the numbers this week online. At a time when a Republican candidate should be surging, there is still slugging going on for the cameras.

If any of the candidates believe that all of this is helping any Republican win the White House, they need to have their heads examined.  Where is the online marketing strategy to compete with Team Obama? It is nonexistent.  Where are all of those campaign dollars going?  Trust me -- it won’t even be close when it’s time to run that roadblock of TV ads this fall. Here’s the latest data. Read it and worry.

Facebook Friends

Mitt Romney – 1,551,169 – UP 10,009
Ron Paul – 924,249 – UP 7526
Newt Gingrich – 296,333 – UP 37
Rick Santorum – 187,342 – UP 3,274
Barack Obama – 25,879,506 – UP 146,902

Twitter Followers

Newt Gingrich – 1,451,308 – UP 1,732
Ron Paul – 416,577 – UP 6805
Mitt Romney –  398,969  UP 12,977
Rick Santorum – 182,681 – UP 8,004
Barack Obama – 13,489,517 – UP 345,742

There's more here . . .

 


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I'm not sure that that analysis is correct.  A LOT of Conservatives follow Obama on the social sites just to "keep" and eye on him/them.  I do on twitter but I don't on all of the GOPs.  On FB I only follow 1.  So those numbers show nothing more then people want to see what they are doing, not necessarily supporters.  Perfect example is when Conservatives hijack the Obama twitter hash tags, like #attackwatch #truthteam2012 and there was another one this week regarding Obamacare!

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Beckwith

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Obama campus fervor losing to apathy as students sour on 2012

Andrew Theen says on election night 2008, freshman Meagan Cassidy left Lake Forest College and hopped a train to Chicago to celebrate Barack Obama’s impending victory.

"There was probably no better place to be," Cassidy said in a phone interview. The excitement generated that evening spurred her on to become an intern and then a field organizer in three congressional contests and two human rights campaigns.

Now a senior, Cassidy, 21, said she’s not working on a campaign this time around. She’s too busy looking for a job at a nonprofit advocacy group. She and her friends aren’t discussing the election as much as in 2008, she said.

"There is not much talk of Obama at all," Cassidy said of the mood on campus, which extends beyond the president. "I don’t think anyone’s satisfied."

Obama enjoyed a wave of youth support in his run to the presidency, winning 66 percent of voters aged 18-to-29 in the race against Republican Senator John McCain. Twenty-two million young voters cast ballots, making up about 18 percent of the electorate -- two million more than in 2004, according to exit polls and the Center for Information and Research on Civic Learning and Engagement. Today that passion has cooled amid gridlock and partisanship in Washington and a surge in unemployment that is souring young voters.

"There’s definitely a significant sense that this generation are more apathetic headed into the 2012 election than they were in 2008," John Della Volpe, director of polling for Harvard University’s Institute of Politics, said in a phone interview.

Obama’s approval rating among college students dropped to 46 percent last December from 58 percent in November 2009, according to a Harvard University poll. Fifty percent of people between the ages of 18 and 24 said they would "definitely" be voting, an 11 percentage-point decrease from the fall of 2007. A third of respondents said they approved of Democrats in Congress, and 24 percent approved of Republicans. Just 12 percent said the nation was headed in the right direction

"The turnout will not be great," Curtis Gans, director of the Center for the Study of the American Electorate in Washington, said in a phone interview. The war in Afghanistan, a lack of progress on closing Guantanamo Bay and a dismal job picture taint Obama’s prospects, he said. The unemployment rate among 18- to 24-year-olds was 16.3 percent at the end of last year, the highest since record-keeping began in 1948, according to a February Pew Research Center report.

"There’s not the sense that four more years of Obama will change the world for the better," Gans said. Still, Obama stands a "reasonably good chance" of winning, he said.

Continue reading here . . .
 


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Obama camp set to harangue donors with text messages

Donovan Slack is reporting that the Obama campaign rolled out an impressive text-messaging tool this week that allows recipients to donate via cell phone.
 
The campaign sent out a solicitation Wednesday to tens of thousands of people, asking them to simply press reply with the amount they wanted to donate, according to TIME's Michael Scherer.
 
The response was so good -- 20 times that of previous text appeals -- that the campaign plans to repeat the ask, over and over, throughout the next seven months until Election Day.
 
The key to the new tool is the credit card technology, a first for a presidential campaign, that allows donors who give even a few dollars to let the campaign save their credit card information. The campaign can then charge their saved credit card whatever amount the donor elects via text message.
 
With individual donor limits of $5,000, that would mean someone could pledge $25 as many as 200 times. And they could be hit up by the campaign many more times than that.
 


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Beckwith

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Worst week -- ever!

 

This past week just has to go down as one of the worst political weeks ever for a US President . . . video . . . click arrow to start . . .


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Team Obama wants Romney's taxes -- but

TPM Livewire is reporting that Barack Obama’s campaign ran into an awkward moment in a conference call with reporters pushing Mitt Romney to disclose more of his tax returns when they were asked about their own returns.
 
Obama campaign manager Jim Messina suggested Romney release 23 years of tax returns, noting that he had reportedly given that many years’ worth to John McCain when he was being vetted as a potential running mate.  But when asked by the Huffington Post’s Sam Stein whether Obama had plans to release 23 years of returns himself, Messina pointed to Obama’s 12 years of returns without committing to further releases.
 
"This is the standard that Romney set when he was talking to McCain about the [vice presidency]" he said. "We have been very clear about what we’ve laid out."


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Beckwith

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Campaigning on grievances

Victor Davis Hanson says in 2008, a mostly unknown Barack Obama ran for president on an inclusive agenda of "hope and change." That upbeat message was supposed to translate into millions of green jobs, fiscal sobriety, universal health care, a resetting of Bush foreign policy, and racial unity.
 
Four years later, none of those promises will be themes of his 2012 reelection campaign. Gas has more than doubled in price. Billions of dollars have been wasted in insider and subsidized wind and solar projects that have produced little green energy.
 
Unemployment rates above 8 percent appear the new norm, when 5 percent in the past was dubbed a "jobless recovery."
 
From the Middle East to the Korean peninsula, the world seems on the brink. Modern racial relations are at a new low.
 
If borrowing $4 trillion in eight years was "unpatriotic," as Obama once labeled George W. Bush, no one quite knows how to term the addition of $5 trillion in new debt in less than four years. ObamaCare is unpopular with the public. Its constitutionality now rests with the Supreme Court.
 
After four years, the claims of "Bush did it" and "it might have been worse" grow stale. So reelection will rest not on a new agenda, or an explanation of what happened, but on a divide-and-conquer strategy. Translated, that means Obama will find fissures in the voting public over fairness, expand them, and then cobble together various angry partisans in hopes of achieving a bare majority. Such an us/them strategy is not new in American history.
 
There are suddenly new enemies called the "1 percent" -- those who make more than $200,000 per year and who "do not pay their fair share." Apparently, in a zero-sum economy, this tiny minority has taken too much from the majority and thereby caused the four-year lethargy that followed the 2008 meltdown. Andrew Jackson, William Jennings Bryan, and Franklin D. Roosevelt all ran, with varying success, against the selfish "rich."
 
Congress is also now a convenient enemy of the people. Although it was Democratically controlled in Obama’s first two years, and the Senate remains so, the new theme insists that a Republican House stops the Democrats from finishing all the good things they started. When support for 16 years of the New Deal had evaporated by 1948, Harry Truman ran successfully against a "do-nothing" Republican Congress that had blocked his own big-government "Fair Deal" follow-up and thus supposedly stalled the economy.
 
In 2009, Obama pushed through his health-care plan by a narrow partisan margin in the House, despite constitutional questions about the individual mandate. Now, as the Supreme Court seems skeptical of the legality of ObamaCare, the president seems to be running against "unelected" justices. That could work too. In 1968, Richard Nixon squeaked by Hubert Humphrey in a divisive campaign, in part by lambasting the activist Earl Warren Court that had done everything from outlawing school prayer to supporting school busing.
 
Team Obama has seized on the Democrats’ allegations of a "war on women," waged by both Republican and Catholic grandees against federal subsidies of birth control. For the first time since the campaign of John F. Kennedy a half-century ago, the role of the Catholic Church in politics is suddenly a landmark issue.
 
The president faults "Big Oil" and tension in the Middle East -- not his own failure to develop vast new gas-and-oil reserves on public lands -- for high gas prices. Jimmy Carter likewise blamed greedy oil companies and the Middle East in 1980, after gasoline prices spiked and lines formed at filling stations.
 
Suddenly, after the Trayvon Martin tragedy and what may prove to be murderous white vigilantism in Oklahoma, race again looms large. President Obama and Attorney General Eric Holder have weighed in often on that issue. The former castigated police for acting "stupidly" in one incident, and more recently reminded the nation of the racial affinities between himself and Trayvon Martin. The latter blasted the nation’s reluctance to discuss race as cowardly, and alleged racial bias among his own congressional overseers. Race is always an explosive wedge issue. In 1964, Lyndon Johnson ran successfully in part on the need to expand civil rights, while in 1968 Richard Nixon found traction in the backlash against racial violence.
 
If Obama can cobble together disaffected young people, greens, women, minorities, and the poor -- who all believe some nefarious "they" have crushed their dreams -- then massive debt and deficits, high unemployment, sluggish growth, and spiraling gas prices won’t decide the election.
 
Lots of presidential candidates have run by identifying such enemies of the people, rather than debating the general state of the nation -- sometimes successfully, sometimes not.
 
But the problem with an us/them strategy is not just winning an election, but trying to put back together what was torn asunder.


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Beckwith

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Of course Obama will take the low road -- he has no high road

Bookworm says Karl Rove has written a WSJ op-ed, the title of which is "Obama’s Campaign Will Take the Low Road." I haven’t even read Rove’s piece -- which I’m sure is good -- but I already know he’s right. Obama’s campaign will take the low road because there is no high road. After almost three and a half years in office, he doesn’t have a record on which to run. Wait. That’s untrue. He does have a record on which to run. It’s a record pitched to a narrow demographic that would take pleasure if Obama gave the following speech:

My fellow Americans, I’m proud to come here before you and to tell you what I’ve done so far as President and what I plan to do if you elect me again. On the economic front, I’ve increased America’s debt more than any other president in history. I’m proud of that, and I hope to beat my own record in my second term. Working with a compliant Congress, I’ve also put into place policies, including ObamaCare, that ensure frightened employers who will not hire, a stagnant economy, and a shrinking labor force.

If the Supreme Court upholds ObamaCare, you can be sure that I will continue to attack religious institutions, to drive private doctors and hospital out of business, and to work hard to make sure that Americans enjoy the same glorious health care that our Cuban friends now rejoice in. If the Supreme Court strikes down ObamaCare, I promise two things: court packing and renewed efforts to socialize America’s health care system in a way that will pass muster from my new 14-justice Supreme Court (10 of whom are guaranteed to be bona fide Progressives). I have been assured that a properly constituted Court will be able to reconcile ObamaCare with the “accommodations” that religious organizations must necessarily make to ensure free health care for all Americans, including free and full contraception, abortion, and euthanasia.

On the energy front, I’ve worked hard to ensure that ordinary Americans will pay $5.00 per gallon of gas, and I promise to double that amount if you reelect me. I’ll also ensure that more and more taxpayer funds are diverted to subsidize cars and solar panels that only rich people can afford, to provide loans to windmill and solar companies that I guarantee will stay in business for at least three months after spending these monies, and to help countries such as Brazil engage in massive oil drilling activities, creating a reserve that Americans can import at great expense at some later date. I also promise that America will never be tainted by cost-effective Canadian oil. I’m sure that the Chinese, when they purchase that oil, will not use it in a way deleterious to American interests. In my second term I will also continue my current policy of barring any drilling and exploration whatsoever on federal lands. I also will work to make fracking illegal.

I’m especially proud of my record on race relations. During my presidency, I’m happy to report that I’ve finally corrected the pendulum swing that started in the Jim Crow south, with the government persecuting blacks; that then hovered in a meaningless middle where the government tried to treat races equally; and that is now heading to its correct position, one that sees African Americans as a permanently protected government class, with a secondary protected class of some Hispanics (not Cuban-Americans), and a tertiary class of remaining non-white people who are not conservatives. I promise you that, in my second term, with my new 14-justice Progressive Supreme Court, the Constitution will be correctly interpreted to mean, as the Founders undoubtedly intended, that all Americans are equal, but some Americans of color are more equal than others. The current hostility between races is merely a necessary by-product of this constitutional correction.

We’ll also see even more foreign policy successes in my second term. I will not flag in my efforts to realign American foreign policy around a Turkish-American alliance. The Arab Spring is currently progressing as I had hoped, with the Muslim Brotherhood making significant political strikes throughout the Muslim world, especially in Egypt. I optimistically predict that, in my second term, Israel, should she still exist, will be prevailed upon to return to her 1947 borders and to hand Jerusalem over to combined UN-Egyptian control. This move should effectively neutralize the nuclear threat that Iran poses to Israel (should she still exist). I have assured European leaders that this realignment, along with Israel’s retrenchment within her original borders, will placate Iran, making any concerns about Iran’s long-range nuclear weapons unnecessary.

I’m happy to report that European leaders are fully supportive of my efforts regarding Israel (should she still exist). Iran has also assured me that, with Israel disabled or gone, and with the world increasingly independent on Middle Eastern oil, Iran and other Muslim countries will subsidize the European economy in exchange for some small religious and civil concessions. My dear friend Vladimir Putin has also promised that, in return for America’s agreeing to give him a free hand when it comes to the Eastern European countries, he will not attempt to repeat the Soviet takeovers of Poland, the Czech Republic, Hungary, or other Eastern Bloc, er, democratic nations.

I also promise that, in my second term, I will keep America’s southern borders open. I know, and you know, that there is no such thing as an illegal immigrant. There are only future Progressive voters, and we’ll work hard to make America an inviting place for these new non-legal, voting citizens. To that end, I will continue to send hand guns over our Southern borders to the drug cartels and to ignore the rising tide of Communism in certain Latin American countries. Doing so will ensure that Latin America continues to be an impoverished, unstable continent that, rather than keeping its citizens at home, provides America with a steady supply of exploitable cheap labor and assured Democrat votes.

To those of you who have been disappointed with my performance during my first term, I can promise you that, if you give me a second term, you ain’t seen nothing yet. Thank you, and Allah, er, Marx, er God Bless America.


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Claudia

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Reply with quote  #19 

that is the about the truth as we can predict, sorry to say, if America re-elects this POS, America will quickly drown in the muck that he has created and will fully implement should that re-election happen.....   WAKE UP AMERICA!!!  Why doesn't the majority of the American public SEE AND UNDERSTAND THIS????

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WOW! A truthful speech from the Usurper!  Who'd a thunk it? Must be because it is Friday the 13th.
 
Good one, Beckwith!
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I keep telling everyone, it doesn't matter who you vote for. (It does matter, vote for anyone other than Obama) If our votes go to another country where Obama/Soros has control over the votes, which way do you think it will go? If I vote for Newt and my vote is tabulated wrong, it's all over anyway. If Obama makes it to election, it's over, we are toast. It matters who counts the vote not as much who you vote for.

Beckwith

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Seven ways 2012 won’t be anything like 2008 for Team Obama

William Galston says with the general election now underway, it’s tempting to assume that Barack Obama has a built-in advantage by having at his disposal a campaign operation that earned universal plaudits in 2008. But as Team Obama itself already knows -- or, if not, will soon come to realize -- the 2012 contest will be very different from Obama’s triumphant march to the White House four years ago. The key question will be how the old campaign staff responds to the new electoral landscape. Here are seven realities that Team Obama will have to adjust to.
 
2012 will be a referendum, not a choice. One of the best established findings of contemporary political science is that in presidential contests involving an incumbent, the incumbent’s record is central to the public’s judgment. A race for an open Oval Office is about promises and personalities; a campaign for reelection is about the record and performance of the person currently occupying the White House. To be sure, Obama can offer his vision for the future and new proposals to flesh it out. But if the people don’t approve of his record, that won’t matter much.
 
No more promises of bipartisanship. Obama will have to abandon -- or at least radically modify -- the promise to heal a polarized political system that was at the heart of his rise to national prominence, starting with his dramatic address at the 2004 Democratic convention. And because his inability to foster this reconciliation has disappointed many people who voted for him in 2008, he’ll have to explain why he couldn’t do it in a way that redirects that disappointment toward the Republican Party and its nominee.
 
No more "Yes, we can." The atmospherics of the current race will be completely different than they were four years ago. Because the national reaction to the administration’s agenda has been shaped by the partisan polarization in Congress (the pervasiveness of which appeared to surprise Obama when he took office), the hope for rapid transformation has yielded to the reality of incremental progress against tough odds and entrenched opposition. Thus, the exuberant poetry of 2008 will have to give way to sober prose.
 
No more youth movement. There is no way that the Obama campaign can expect to recreate the excitement that moved so many young and first-time voters not only to turn out to vote but also to work their hearts out for their hero. While it’s unlikely that Romney will get a larger share of the youth vote than McCain did, it’s equally unlikely that Obama will get as many votes from this pool as he did four years ago.
 
Blue-state big business has moved on. Team Obama will not be able to raise the kind of money from Wall Street and Silicon Valley that it did in 2008. For complex reasons, relations between Obama and substantial portions of the private sector have soured. Although the Obama’s criticisms are mild by New Deal standards, members of the New York financial sector reportedly resent being called "fat cats," and some are responding by closing their checkbooks. Worse yet, some may soon be opening them to Mitt Romney, who speaks their language and is willing to stroke their egos.
 
Selecting a campaign message will be a zero-sum choice. Unlike in 2008, Obama will have to make some hard choices about the thematics of his campaign. His current populist rhetoric, which got its start four months ago with a major speech in Kansas, is more likely to arouse the Democratic base than to rekindle the affections of skeptical suburban and independent voters. A return to the "winning the future" focus of Obama’s 2011 State of the Union address would do just the reverse. After a 2008 election in which a single message could tap both the anger of the Democratic base and the Bush fatigue of the broader electorate, Obama now faces a balancing act that previous Democratic candidates had to face -- and, if they hoped to win, had to master.
 
Obama is no longer the master of his fate. During the 2008 campaign, Obama could and did seize the initiative in the face of unexpected events. His agile response to the mid-September financial meltdown propelled him into a lead that he never surrendered. In 2012, by contrast, he will be at the mercy of events that he cannot control. The Supreme Court will decide the fate of the Affordable Care Act. A military confrontation between Israel and Iran would put the administration in the no-win situation it has struggled to avoid, with incalculable consequences for our national security as well as our politics. If job creation returns to the strong pace of the late winter and remains there through the fall, he will be reelected with room to spare. But if the middling March employment report is a harbinger of things to come, the electorate’s evaluation of his performance will be harsh, and the road to reelection very steep indeed.


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Obama's latest campaign slogans

   


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Obama vows to fight for climate action, make global warming a key 2012 issue

The Conservative Byte is reporting that Barack Obama is vowing to make the case for action on global warming during the 2012 campaign.
  
"I suspect that over the next six months, this is going to be a debate that will become part of the campaign, and I will be very clear in voicing my belief that we’re going to have to take further steps to deal with climate change in a serious way," Obama told Rolling Stone magazine in a newly published interview.
 
Obama’s comments follow a first term that saw global warming legislation collapse in Congress but several administrative steps to address climate proceed, such as tougher auto mileage rules and first-time greenhouse gas standards for new power plants.

Related:  Glaciers in Karakoram have grown since 1999
 


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DoJ asked to investigate how Obama Campaign co-chair obtained stolen IRS tax return

Robert Bluey is reporting that the National Organization for Marriage (NOM) is asking the U.S. Department of Justice to investigate and prosecute the individuals responsible for leaking the organization’s confidential U.S. tax return and then illegally publishing it.
 
The stolen tax return was first published by the Human Rights Campaign and subsequently the Huffington Post. HRC is led by Joe Solmonese, who also serves as a co-chairman of President Obama's reelection committee.
 
In an April 25 letter to Kathryn Keneally, assistant attorney general for DoJ’s tax division, NOM President Brian Brown and Chairman John C. Eastman request an immediate investigation "to identify the person(s) responsible for these illegal actions." (The letter is published below.)
 
Brown will provide an update on the brewing scandal at The Bloggers Briefing. Breitbart TV, in partnership with The Heritage Foundation, will air it live on Tuesday at noon ET.
 
As previously reported by the Breitbart News Network, NOM’s confidential tax return was first disclosed by the Human Rights Campaign and Huffington Post on March 30 in an attempt to expose the group’s donors. Publication of the material is a felony, punishable by a fine of up to $5,000 and/or imprisonment for up to five years.
 
An investigation by NOM revealed the documents came directly from the Internal Revenue Service rather than a "whistleblower," as HRC claimed. NOM used a computer program to remove a layer from the file, which attempted to obscure its source. Once that layer was removed, markings used only by the IRS were visible.
 
A spokesman for the IRS said the agency was already investigating the matter. "IRS takes this confidentiality of return information very seriously," spokesman Dean Patterson told The Daily Caller. "Any allegations of improper disclosures of taxpayer information are investigated by the Treasury Inspector General."
 
While that investigation progresses, NOM wants the Department of Justice tax division to also investigate. It has responsibility for all criminal activity involving internal revenue laws.
 
The question is whether someone within the IRS deliberately and illegally obtained the tax return or if a breach happened from an external source.
 
HRC quietly removed the tax form within a day of NOM's attorneys contacting the organization. The Huffington Post, however, still has a copy on its website despite NOM’s request to remove it. Neither organization responded to inquiries for comment.
 
Under federal law, both HRC and Huffington Post could be punished for their actions. That’s a point NOM emphasized in its letter to the Department of Justice:
 
NOM hereby respectfully requests an immediate and thorough investigation into this matter in order to determine (1) whether an officer or employee of the United States is responsible for the unlawful release of NOM’s 2008 Schedule B and should be prosecuted; (2) whether the source of the breach was through violation of the IRS’s electronic data systems; and (3) how HRC, the Huffington Post, and others obtained NOM’s 2008 Schedule B and their role in stealing NOM’s confidential donor information and whether they, or any of them, should be prosecuted for their violation of federal law.
 
For more information, tune in for The Bloggers Briefing on Tuesday at noon ET, streamed live on Breitbart TV.
 

NOM will get no justice from Holder's Justice Department.

 


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